Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

Reasonable compliance with social distancing from 25% of the population has a huge impact on the slope of the curve.

Of course better compliance from larger numbers of people has even more impact, but it's not a binary condition.

That said, we probably aren't doing enough to prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed, or to even push that very far into the future.




Not enough, all the simulations show we’d need to basically reduce our number of interactions a day by 75% and double the number of ventilators by 100% to “stay under the curve” that’s if we didn’t have a huge number of celebrations and people in lines, etc.

Projections are 500k dead by June. Maybe with the precautions we can slow the millions dead by the end of the year. It remains to be seen.


I mean, italy is no longer exponential, China clearly contained their issues. The doom and gloom is somewhat overblown.


https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/

Looks fairly exponential to me. (log y axis) And that's just confirmed cases.


Try to fit it. More easier is to look at daily new cases. For past 4 days they are increasing linearly (meaning total is quadratic)




Consider applying for YC's Spring batch! Applications are open till Feb 11.

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: