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What is the Probability Elon Musk will buy Twitter? (countbayesie.com)
2 points by Homunculiheaded on Oct 20, 2022 | hide | past | favorite | 4 comments



I'd say it's pretty good. He's backed himself into a corner where he can be literally forced to honor the purchase agreement if Twitter chooses to do so.

I'd say a better question is --- will he do anything constructive with Twitter once he owns it.


I too think he is backed into a corner but if his money falls through maybe he can wiggle out.

In some of the texts I read it was clear they intend to put trump back on the platform. I am guessing they will try to turn it into some sort of "free speech" aka right wing conservative crap fest.

Which is sad I have really curated my twitter feed to some good technical things like pixel art, shaders, and generative art. I imagine those people will eventually leave once enough crazies get enabled to spout hate 24x7.


if his money falls through maybe he can wiggle out.

The only reason for his money to "fall through" is because he wants to wiggle out.


If he manage to keep pump&dump the crypto market and its $TSLA, then there is high chance

But the more he do that, the more he looses credibility, SEC was proven to be totally useless in recent years

Buying Twitter? at what cost? i don't think he'll buy it

Buy it for what? to make it private?

Then to push the digital ID, as well as the digital EURODOLLAR

Some people suggested he is the creator of bitcoin, more than ever, we have the hints that he is at least in the CIA's working group, at least on the marketing/PR side of things

He get free-pass from institutions and medias, more than anyone else, that can't be organic




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