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> When you have successes like Tesla and SpaceX and PayPal it doesn't really matter how many failures you have

It matters if you care about evaluating whether or not you should believe what Elon says.



Do I believe him when he says "Teslas will be full self driving in six months" like he has for the last 10 years? No. He's definitely a PT Barnumesque figure.

Do I believe that Tesla will get to full self driving eventually? Yes.




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