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Thank you for your armchair analysis, but I will wait for the NTSB's report.



That seems needlessly snarky in response to some thoughts that are very clearly labeled as speculation.


It was snarky, and I expected the down votes. But, I think it needs to be said. Neither I, nor the OP, have enough information to make any conclusions. It is just a lot of observations, rumors, and opinions.

I love speculating about everything from government policy to interpersonal relationships. (It helps me validate my mental model of the world.) But, in this case, I know the NTSB currently has a better picture of the situation than anyone on the internet.


Why say it when it's already mentioned several times in the post? I'll wait for the report, in the meantime I'm interested in qualified speculation based on the available data.


indeed, which will take ~2 years


They'll make a preliminary, primarily "factual" report within days, or weeks. This will be based on the FDR, Quick Access Recorder, statements by crew, passengers and witnesses to the NTSB investigators.

Even though I'm a former pilot, I've not made any posts prior to this one, because I didn't want to speculate.


The recently released video (which I'm sure the NTSB already had) should be helpful as well (and appears to support the author's speculation).





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