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Too dense, man. Only people who already get it will get it. People who don't get it, will still not get it after reading.

Try to explain it to your 5 year old daughter, or your 80 year old grandmother.




Seems pretty clear to me, it doesn't claim to be an article for the non mathematically inclined. Not that "pop" articles on this subject wouldn't be pretty cool too.


Well, I'm pretty mathematically inclined, but ignorant of Bayesian statistics, and I still didn't really get it. Frinstance the first full-length paragraph:

The full Bayesian probability model includes the unobserved parameters. The marginal distribution over parameters is known as the “prior” parameter distribution, as it may be computed without reference to observable data. The conditional distribution over parameters given observed data is known as the “posterior” parameter distribution.

uses too much jargon; I'm sure I'd understand it if he'd defined "marginal distribution" and "conditional distribution" and clarified exactly what the difference between observable and unobservable data and/or parameters is. The hypothetical audience for this seems to be people who are intimately familiar with statistical terminology but know absolutely nothing about Bayesian statistics.


I think those concepts are best understood by example.


Amen... I'm a recovering mathophobe, and I was discouraged by how utterly impenetrable this article was. I mean, I honestly had absolutely no idea what was going on, despite really wanting to understand.




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