I know everyone in the tech community is drooling over this, but I'd give it 50/50 odds at best. The real advantage it has going for it is that Google can throw a lot of weight behind it and maybe push it through with sheer force of will.
Here's the problem with Wave: what is it? Every blog post I've read about it struggled with how to explain it. I read this entire post and I'm still not sure of how I'm supposed to use this thing or what pressing problem it solves. Even the videos I've seen are super long, presumably because you can't really show it off in 60 seconds. "Well, it's kind of a mix between email and IM, but also with wiki functionality and social networking...oh, and it's got these crazy widgets and media sharing and stuff. Hmmm...you really have to play with it to understand." 97% of the people I know wouldn't get that, and don't have the patience to figure it out. It seems like it's just too flexible, that it can be used for a million different things, which makes it hard to know how to use at first. Think about almost every successful web site out there and how easy they are to explain, especially when they first launched. You would have zero trouble explaining Google, Youtube, Facebook, Flickr, Delicious, Twitter, etc. in a 60 second video.
Wave is like FriendFeed on crack, and FF is already dangerously close to being too much for most normal people to grok. I just don't see it catching on.
You might be right, but I think it's wrong to dismiss it just because it's hard to explain. Sometimes great new technologies are difficult because there is less to compare it to.
To be clear, I'm not dismissing it...I'm looking forward to playing with it. I just don't see my friends using it, and if no one I know uses it, why would I?
Also to be clear, their stuff is truly beta which is why they are limiting the users to a small set of developers. Sometimes while using the site you'll get a 500 error that will force you to refresh the browser page.
It's more of a Lotus Notes (with Sametime) on lithium than FriendFeed on crack -- it solves many (but not all) of the same problems (without, of course, the need to be backwards-compatible to the 1993 version). And like Notes, there is going to be a sharp divide between those who "get it" and those who don't.
Like Notes/Domino/Sametime, it is replete with features that allow real-time interaction between users and time management. But (also like Notes) it's biggest feature is that allows "meetings" to become unstuck in time while generating tasks, workflow and approvals in a way that simple email or a wiki cannot. I would expect that shops/orgs that "get it" will find that it quickly becomes an indispensable tool, and those that don't but adopt it anyway will find it a horribly clunky way of going about things in the same way they would have done without it.
Here's a one-line summary of Wave: it's like Outlook. It's a big... PIM... thing, with lots of features, that you live in, and grow completely dependent on, especially when your coworkers (or, with Wave, friends) use it. s/Wave/Outlook/ in everything you said, and it lines up almost perfectly.
Well, there's no use summarizing Wave itself. Protocols aren't able to be grasped easily without examples of clients that use them. What really needs to happen to show off the power of Wave is for Google to create a few other Wave clients.
It is an amazing way for google to push their gadget platform though. I'm an early beta user of wave and I think it's pretty cool how you can just "email" a bunch of your friends a gadget that works inline the conversation. So you could email your 10 friends a poll widget to decide the best time to meet for lunch. The robot api concept of theirs is interesting, but I don't see immediate useful applications of it just yet.
When Marc Andreesen invented the browser nobody understood what he was doing or why it mattered. If you want to do disruptive technology it will often be hard to explain at first.
I think the title of inventing the browser would go to Tim Berners-Lee, although Andreesen was responsible for the first mainstream browser. I'm anxious to see whether someone will come along behind Google and do what Andreesen and company did for the web browser.
Where is this "Wave is difficult to understand" meme coming from? It's a protocol for real-time collaborative document editing. Done.
The fact that there are a ton of features building on this concept doesn't detract from its underlying simplicity. Even if Google's client is overwhelming, it's a protocol - there are plenty of opportunities for others to come in and compete on simplicity.
It's coming from people who have a vested interest in it not upsetting the apple cart.
The more geeks talk about how a robot here and there turns it into X, Y or Z, the more non-geeks are distracted from the fact that on Day 1 it's just email/im/collaboration done better.
I agree, Wave is really hard to explain, but once you see it in action, it actually becomes a lot easier to figure out.
Maybe one way to think about it as a more structured version of Etherpad, only that you can use it for collaborative editing and messaging at the same time.
Hah, I've told someone it has the everyone-can-edit style of Wikipedia and from then on they assumed it was for research only and were confused as to why we'd need "another one".
Ask people what they want from current services (email is the one 99% will understand) and work out how Wave could be used to meet that need.
i.e. Instead of emailing a new attachment everytime a document is changed, tell them to put the text in the email and how they can continue to edit it.
Does anybody know how Wave is going to deal with Spam? I assume you are not limited to sending waves to people who have added you as a friend or contact.
"Does anybody know how Wave is going to deal with Spam? I assume you are not limited to sending waves to people who have added you as a friend or contact."
i'm really hoping that is the case. it'll be more like a phone call in that sense. before you get to answer you can see (the number) who the call is from. this will really cut down on the spam.
i remember having a hard time explaining why gmail is a better email solution to friends. they'd say: it's just email, what's better about it. sometimes, just because things are difficult to explain doesn't mean they are difficult to use.
In its early days ICQ had a mode that allowed you to see what the other user typed before he hit "send" - just like google wave seems to do. I hated it - I like to edit my message and make sure it's right before others see it.
I see value in others getting updates without hitting refresh, though.
I don't really see why all the Wave articles are touting this as such a big feature (or is Google doing this, in which case seriously?). It would not surprise me if this ended up changing later anyway.
I can't help but wonder why they didn't try harder to fix spam.
As far as i've been able to tell, it'll be same-old/same-old: Mark as spam, possibly automatic filters.
It seems to me that part of the answer to the question "What would e-mail look like if invented today" should be "there would be no spam".
Couldn't it be done by request/approve like on Skype/Facebook or something more advanced like reputation or something?
having talked to the guys on the Wave Team, it is clear that they are still trying to figure these things out. They are just now opening it up to more users and seeing usage scenarios they didn't even think of themselves. I'm guessing spam wasn't really an issue they had to deal with so far, and from what I've seen, there really is no spam on the site yet. Also, given that you invite your own contacts to join a 'wave,' chances are, spam won't be a huge problem as far as I can see.
Here's the problem with Wave: what is it? Every blog post I've read about it struggled with how to explain it. I read this entire post and I'm still not sure of how I'm supposed to use this thing or what pressing problem it solves. Even the videos I've seen are super long, presumably because you can't really show it off in 60 seconds. "Well, it's kind of a mix between email and IM, but also with wiki functionality and social networking...oh, and it's got these crazy widgets and media sharing and stuff. Hmmm...you really have to play with it to understand." 97% of the people I know wouldn't get that, and don't have the patience to figure it out. It seems like it's just too flexible, that it can be used for a million different things, which makes it hard to know how to use at first. Think about almost every successful web site out there and how easy they are to explain, especially when they first launched. You would have zero trouble explaining Google, Youtube, Facebook, Flickr, Delicious, Twitter, etc. in a 60 second video.
Wave is like FriendFeed on crack, and FF is already dangerously close to being too much for most normal people to grok. I just don't see it catching on.